AGP Executive Report

Lebanon War Update: Lebanon’s health ministry says Israeli strikes since March 2 have killed 3,756 people and wounded 11,632, as the IDF issued evacuation warnings for 29 southern villages ahead of raids. Northern Border Escalation: The IDF reported three Hezbollah projectiles and two drones hitting northern Israel, while far-right ministers renewed calls to strike Beirut’s Dahiyeh. US-Iran Deal Anxiety: Israeli officials warn a looming US-Iran framework could erase leverage and leave Israel sidelined, with Iran saying talks would include Lebanon truce terms. Somaliland Diplomacy: Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi arrived in Israel to open an embassy in Jerusalem after Israel recognized Somaliland, drawing sharp criticism from Somalia. West Bank Raids: Israeli forces conducted overnight raids across the West Bank and al-Quds, abducting multiple Palestinians, while settlers set fires in olive groves near Ramallah. Local Life Disruption: Train chaos hit Haifa as metal parts fell from a freight car, blocking lines and leaving passengers stranded. Public Protest: Pro-Palestinian groups staged a “Kick Israel out of FIFA” action at the World Cup opening in Toronto.

Israel-Iran diplomacy: Trump says a US-Iran war deal is “scheduled to get signed tomorrow,” while Iran insists signing won’t be “tomorrow” and Israel warns it can’t influence terms that could shape the Lebanon front. Lebanon escalation: As evacuation warnings expand around Nabatieh and other towns, Israeli strikes and shelling continue; Lebanon’s health ministry says the Lebanon death toll since March 2 has reached 3,756. Hezbollah vs IDF: The IDF says it’s clearing Hezbollah tunnels under Beaufort Ridge and struck dozens of sites, while Hezbollah claims drone and rocket attacks on Israeli vehicles and troops. Smotrich threat: Smotrich vows to destroy ten buildings in Beirut’s Dahiye for every attack on Israel. Gaza strike: An Israeli airstrike in Khan Younis kills two and injures several, including a child. UNRWA purge: UNRWA fires 70 employees after Israel and UN Watch accusations of Hamas ties, as UN Watch and USAID push for further action. West Bank settler violence: Settlers shot and wounded a disabled Palestinian man near Duma, with reports of delays to medical access. Disinformation probe: French watchdog Viginum alleges Israeli-linked BlackCore ran a fake Palestinian charity to amplify pro-Palestinian content and interfere in elections. Europe travel incident: NATO scrambled jets after an Arkia flight lost contact over Hungary, later restored without danger.

Lebanon Front: Israel ordered evacuation of residents in about 20 southern Lebanese towns, including the Nabatieh area, after strikes hit places covered by the warning; the Israeli military said Hezbollah violated the ceasefire, while Lebanon reported deaths including Ar-Rihan mayor Ali Badie and more strikes around Tyre and Bint Jbeil. Iran-US Deal Pressure: Iran’s Araghchi said any understanding with Washington hinges on Israel ending hostilities and withdrawing from “Lebanese occupied territory,” while Israeli officials warned they won’t accept a “unification of fronts” if Iran retaliates. Gaza Civilian Toll: A Gaza municipal worker from Bureij was killed in a drone strike near the camp’s southern entrance during a ceasefire period. West Bank Human Impact: A 7-month-old baby, Sam Abu Haikal, died after an Israeli shooting in Hebron, adding to a rising count of child deaths. UK Activism Case: Four Palestine Action activists were jailed for a 2024 Elbit Systems raid in Bristol, with the court treating it as having a “terrorism connection.” Diplomacy & Recognition: Somalia’s president condemned Israel’s recognition of Somaliland as a “trap,” deepening the diplomatic fallout.

Explosive Weapons Monitor: A new report says Israel’s forces accounted for 56% of civilian deaths from explosive weapons in 2025, with 22,600 civilians killed across 65 countries and “normalisation” of harm a growing concern. Lebanon Front: Defense Minister Israel Katz says Israel will keep holding “security zones” in Lebanon, Syria and Gaza, while UNIFIL reports extensive IDF activity and repeated airspace violations, including strikes that injured hospital staff in Tyre. Iran Deal Pressure: Iran’s FM says any Iran-U.S. MoU would require Israel to stop the Lebanon war and withdraw troops, as a senior U.S. official argues Israel will back the emerging Iran deal after reviewing full terms. Gaza Ceasefire Strain: Despite ceasefire talks, reports describe renewed Israeli strikes and demolitions across Gaza, including attacks on homes and schools. UK Arms Protest Fallout: In London, four Palestine Action activists were sentenced as terrorists for a 2024 Elbit Systems raid, drawing condemnation. Two-State Push: Israeli and Palestinian civil society groups met in Paris urging G7 action as the window for a two-state solution narrows. Sports Politics: Ireland’s Nations League match vs Israel is moved to a neutral venue behind closed doors after protests.

Iran Diplomacy: The Trump administration is now pursuing a nuclear deal with Iran even if Israel objects, with JD Vance signaling the U.S. will prioritize its own national security interests; Trump also floated a possible signing “as soon as this weekend.” Hamas Release: Israel released Hamas co-founder Hassan Yousef from administrative detention after more than two years, transferring him to a hospital near Ramallah. Two-State Push in Paris: Israeli and Palestinian civil society groups are meeting in France to urge governments not to abandon a two-state path, with a “Call for Action” aimed at a ceasefire and an end to settlements. UNICEF Warning: UNICEF says killings, injuries, detentions and trauma of Palestinian children in Gaza and the West Bank are surging to record levels. West Bank Pressure: Amnesty and Oxfam reports accuse Israel of escalating ethnic cleansing and state-backed settler violence, including record child deaths and mass displacement. Lebanon Strikes: In Tyre, a hospital strike wounded 10 staff, as Christians reportedly flee amid fears Israel’s campaign will prevent return. Ireland-Israel Football: UEFA approved moving Ireland’s home Nations League match with Israel to a neutral overseas venue behind closed doors. Settlements & UK Policy: UK PM Starmer said charities should not support illegal Israeli settlements, warning of investigations and stronger sanctions. Backlash in Culture: BDS condemned Tribeca Festival for platforming Israeli films, while Gwyneth Paltrow’s luxury Israel real-estate ad sparked heavy criticism.

Iran-U.S.-Israel diplomacy: The Trump administration is shifting toward pursuing a nuclear deal with Iran even without Israel’s approval, with JD Vance saying U.S. interests come first as the region reels from the latest missile-and-strike cycle. Lebanon front: Lebanon’s President Joseph Aoun says his country will keep direct talks with Israel despite pressure, while Israeli strikes and Hezbollah drone attacks intensify across southern and eastern Lebanon, with Lebanon reporting thousands killed and wounded since March 2. West Bank settlements: Peace Now says Israel has allocated $51M (152m shekels) for planning 69 “illegal” settlements/outposts, and a separate cabinet referral would route $339M (1b shekels) toward new settlement establishment. Gaza ceasefire strain: Israeli strikes killed three in Gaza as mediators push to implement the next phase of a fragile truce. Press freedom: Israel deported a French journalist accused of supporting Hamas, drawing fresh condemnation over restrictions on foreign reporters. Humanitarian pressure: U.S. lawmakers urged Israel to allow Gaza cancer patients to get treatment outside the enclave. Local politics abroad: Somerville, Massachusetts, is set to consider divestment rules targeting companies tied to Israel’s actions in Palestinian territories.

Iran-US-Israel Rift: US Vice President JD Vance said Netanyahu has “gotten some things wrong,” while Trump warned Israel it could “find itself fighting alone” if it reopens a full Iran war—amid renewed strikes and retaliations that keep diplomacy fragile. Lebanon Front: Fresh Israeli strikes hit southern Lebanon, including Tyre’s Tayr Debba where at least 18 were reported killed; UN investigators are set to assess possible international-law violations by all sides. West Bank Settlements: Israel is expected to approve major funding to move 61 authorized settlements from “paper to reality,” with rights groups and Amnesty calling it state-backed “ethnic cleansing” and annexation-by-displacement. Europe Pushback: UK, Australia, Canada (with others) launched a $4m peace fund and imposed sanctions/bans tied to extremist settler networks, while Italy backed EU sanctions and sought action against Ben Gvir. Global Attention: A viral clip claiming Israeli soldiers vandalized a Lebanon church was flagged as AI-generated. Domestic/Tech: Cyera raised $600m at a $12bn valuation, and an Israeli cabinet vote is expected on settlement infrastructure spending. Politics: Likud confirmed Netanyahu will seek re-election.

U.S.-Iran diplomacy shift: Vice President JD Vance says Washington will pursue a nuclear deal with Iran “with or without” Israel’s approval, even as Trump warns Netanyahu he could “find himself fighting alone” if war with Iran resumes. Lebanon front: Israel’s strikes across southern Lebanon killed at least 16–18 people in Tyre-area towns like Tayr Debba, as Netanyahu urged Lebanese civilians to “join Israel” against Hezbollah and UN investigators said they will probe alleged international-law violations. Gaza blockade: Israel again cut Gaza off by closing Kerem Shalom and sealing Rafah, tightening a humanitarian crisis as aid and goods reportedly stall. West Bank pressure: Amnesty says Israel is accelerating “ethnic cleansing” tied to annexation, while UN and rights groups report settler violence and abuses. Domestic politics & society: Likud says Netanyahu will seek re-election; separate reports highlight UMich indictments over alleged anti-Israel threats and vandalism. Culture & backlash: Gwyneth Paltrow faces backlash for starring in a luxury Herzliya real-estate ad.

U.S.-Israel rift over Iran: President Trump warned Prime Minister Netanyahu that Israel could “find itself fighting alone” if it resumes a full-scale war with Iran, as Vice President JD Vance said Washington will pursue an Iran nuclear deal regardless of Israel’s objections. Iran-Israel escalation: Iran launched ballistic missiles at Israel in what analysts call a new phase after earlier strikes tied to Hezbollah, while both sides trade warnings even as pressure for a pause grows. Lebanon front: Israeli strikes hit Tyre amid evacuation orders, with reports of at least 11 dead and dozens hurt, as Lebanon says the city’s Christian quarter is being emptied under threat. West Bank displacement claims: Amnesty released new reports accusing Israel of state-led “ethnic cleansing” and accelerating annexation through forced displacement, including Bedouin and herding communities in Area C. East Jerusalem demolitions: A new AP report describes intensified evictions and demolitions in annexed east Jerusalem, with families saying authorities are erasing their homes and history. Local accountability & society: B’Tselem released video alleging an Israeli soldier shot a Palestinian baby in Hebron; meanwhile Teva plans layoffs of about 250 in its API division in Israel. Diplomacy & culture: Israel plans a Shivaji Maharaj statue to deepen ties with India, while France bans Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich from entering over settlement and annexation push.

US-Israel rift over Iran: Trump warned Netanyahu Israel could “find itself fighting alone” if it resumes a full-scale war with Iran, as Washington pushes for a nuclear deal that may proceed regardless of Israel’s objections. Lebanon front and mass displacement: Israel struck Tyre, killing at least eight, then ordered the entire city to evacuate—again raising fears of a wider regional slide. Ceasefire fragility: Iran and Israel paused attacks after Trump urged both sides to stop shooting, but Tehran warned it would resume if Israel keeps hitting Hezbollah in Lebanon. Gaza humanitarian squeeze: Gaza’s Health Ministry says Israel is blocking medical exits for more than 17,000 people; UN officials warn aid access remains limited and conditions are worsening. West Bank sanctions over settler violence: The UK, Canada, France and others announced coordinated sanctions on individuals and groups tied to settler violence, with France also banning Finance Minister Smotrich from entering. Domestic politics and military ties: Bernie Sanders vowed to oppose a US-Israel defense integration provision in the NDAA, as lobbying battles heat up in Washington.

Iran-Israel Ceasefire Pause: After a missile-and-retaliation flare-up, Iran and Israel agreed to halt attacks for at least a week, with Trump calling it “final throes” of a broader deal—though both sides warned they’ll strike back if provoked. Lebanon Evacuations: Despite the pause, Israel ordered residents of Tyre and nearby towns to evacuate north of the Zahrani River, citing Hezbollah violations; strikes reportedly killed civilians and damaged infrastructure. West Bank Settler Violence: A UN inquiry says Israeli authorities enable settler attacks, with Israeli forces often shielding attackers; it reports a sharp rise in killings and injuries. US-Israel Policy Push: The US plans to keep pursuing an Iran nuclear deal regardless of Israel’s stance, while Congress advances expanded defense and intelligence sharing with Israel. Tech & War: A report claims Israel is expanding AI-controlled drones for surveillance and strike missions, reducing real-time human oversight. Local Life/Travel: Israel’s Tourism Ministry announced a phased reopening for international visitors, including Filipinos, as flights resume to Ben Gurion. Markets: Stocks rebounded and oil slid as investors priced in the pause; gold held steady.

Iran-Israel Ceasefire Test: After a ballistic-missile exchange and Israeli strikes, both sides said they paused attacks again, with President Trump urging “stop shooting” and warning the US blockade stays until a final deal. Lebanon Front: Despite the ceasefire, Israeli bombings in southern Lebanon killed at least eight, including a strike near the Red Cross in Tyre, while Lebanon’s president Joseph Aoun appealed for talks. Gaza Pressure: Israel expanded control and carried out airstrikes that killed six Palestinians, and suspended Gaza aid deliveries after the Iran missile attack. Legal Fallout in Europe: Italy opened an investigation into far-right minister Itamar Ben-Gvir over alleged abuse of Gaza flotilla activists; France has also probed similar claims. Public Mood in Tel Aviv: Tel Aviv residents described war-fatigue and disruption to daily life as sirens returned. Detention and Rights: The number of female Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails rose to about 95, and a journalists’ group recorded 55 violations against Palestinian media workers in May. Tech and Military: A report says Israel is expanding AI-controlled drones for intelligence and strikes, while NATO-linked defense firms showcased Elbit’s digital ground network in Europe.

Iran-Israel Escalation: Iran’s IRGC said it targeted Israel’s Ramat David Airbase as missiles triggered sirens across northern Israel; Israel’s military said it intercepted incoming projectiles and warned it will strike back once ordered, after Israeli strikes hit Hezbollah’s Beirut stronghold in Dahieh. Trump’s Call to Halt Fire: Donald Trump urged both sides to “immediately stop shooting,” saying Israel and Iran had “had their strikes,” while reporting also said he pressed Netanyahu not to retaliate. Regional Spillover: Yemen’s Houthis claimed missile attacks and announced a ban on Israeli-linked navigation in the Red Sea, while Israel shut down airspace after intercepting a Yemen-fired ballistic missile and adjusted Ben-Gurion operations. Gaza Humanitarian Clampdown: Israel ordered an indefinite closure of Gaza border crossings and halted humanitarian aid following the Iranian missile barrage. Diplomacy Under Strain: Iran blamed the U.S. for escalation and said talks continue amid “extreme suspicion,” as the first direct Israel-Iran exchange since April’s ceasefire raised fears of a wider regional war. Security & Tech: Microsoft expanded human-rights checks amid conflict-zone concerns, and Meta moved against NSO Group over alleged WhatsApp targeting.

Iran-Israel Escalation: Iran launched ballistic missiles toward Israel on Sunday, the first direct attack since the April ceasefire, triggering sirens across northern and central areas; Israel’s military says it intercepted all missiles so far while warning more launches were detected. Lebanon Front: The missile barrage followed Israeli strikes on Beirut’s southern suburbs, where Israel said it hit a Hezbollah command center after Hezbollah fired toward Israel. US Diplomacy/De-escalation: President Trump said he will call Netanyahu urging him not to retaliate, insisting a broader deal with Tehran is “very close,” while also saying he was “not happy” about Israel’s Beirut strike. Home Front Restrictions: Israel tightened nationwide Home Front Command rules: schools and beaches closed, gatherings capped, and bus service reduced, with residents told to stay near shelters. Security on the Ground: A reservist master sergeant (Haim Kalomiti) was killed in a terror attack in central Israel, as police and counterterror forces hunted for suspects. Regional Fallout: Syria and Iraq closed parts of airspace after the missile launches, and COGAT later said Gaza crossings including Rafah were shut following the attacks.

Pentagon Counterintelligence: US media reports the Defense Intelligence Agency has raised Israel’s counterintelligence threat level to “critical,” alleging Israeli spying on top Trump Iran-negotiation figures including Steve Witkoff and Pentagon officials—Israel denies the claims. Lebanon Ceasefire Strain: Despite a new ceasefire deal, Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon killed nine, including three Lebanese military personnel, with Hezbollah and Israeli officials trading blame as rockets and interceptions continue. West Bank Drive-By Attacks: Multiple shooting incidents near the West Bank border in central Israel left at least one dead and five wounded; police say an attacker was neutralized and searches are ongoing. Gaza Strikes: In Gaza City, strikes on a displaced people’s camp killed at least eight, with more deaths reported across the enclave amid stalled ceasefire talks. Cost of War: Bank of Israel figures put the multi-front war’s price tag at 405 billion shekels, raising fears of cuts to education and healthcare as defense spending climbs. Diplomacy & Boycotts: Belgium university staff and students push to cut Israel ties over Gaza and West Bank violence, while Israel plans to open an embassy in Slovenia after a rightwing government shift.

Pentagon-US Spying Row: The New York Times and NBC report the Pentagon raised Israel’s counterintelligence threat level to “critical,” alleging intensified Israeli efforts to monitor senior U.S. officials tied to Iran talks; Israel and the White House deny the claims. West Bank Fatalities: A seven-month-old Palestinian boy, Sam Fahd Abu Haikal, was killed and his parents wounded after Israeli forces fired at a car near Hebron; the IDF says it fired at a vehicle it believed was accelerating, while the family disputes that account. Gaza Strikes: Israeli airstrikes killed at least seven in Gaza City, including in a tent camp for displaced people, as mediators restart Cairo talks aimed at protecting a fragile ceasefire. Lebanon Border Pressure: Fresh Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon killed Lebanese Army personnel, with Lebanon and Hezbollah calling it a sovereignty violation and a blow to ceasefire efforts. Ireland Moves Against Ministers: Ireland banned far-right Israeli ministers Smotrich and Ben-Gvir from entering the country and signaled future restrictions on settlement-linked goods. Settler Violence in Huwara: Nine people were injured in an attack by Israeli settlers in Huwara, with clashes following reports of livestock theft. Diplomacy/Media: A Lebanese broadcaster hosted an Israeli journalist for the first time, sparking normalization backlash amid ongoing war.